Game of Thomann

Where Sports and Statistics Clash

Fantasy: Schedule-Free Wins

I thought that my first blog post would be about something that is often overlooked as far as “serious” sports topics: fantasy.  However, I recently attended an academic sports conference in Chicago and it seems that this attitude is evolving.  There were more fantasy topics than ever at this conference.  Attendees at this conference that played fantasy sports were very excited about my work with regards to predicting fantasy scores.  I will go through that model in great detail over the next few weeks.  For today however, I would like to present to you the schedule-free wins statistic in the link below.  This statistic can be used as a metric to determine the “luckiness” of a fantasy team.

CLICK to open:  Schedule Free Wins

3 comments on “Fantasy: Schedule-Free Wins

  1. Captain Fantasy
    July 12, 2013

    Took a second to find the meat. But, I love the SFW stat. Do you think that you could take the SFW number and make that into a projected win number for the season? For instance a team that has a total of 7 SFW points for a season should win 7 games? It seems to work in my head.

  2. mthomann
    July 12, 2013

    Thanks! I’ve been using this stat in my baseball league this year and it has been a hit.

    Your interpretation is correct. Given a team’s score ranks, that team’s SFW is their expected number of wins playing a random schedule.

  3. mthomann
    July 16, 2013

    There is a one-to-one correspondence between this measure and a measure of total wins playing everyone each week. SFW is great because it is on the same scale as wins.

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This entry was posted on July 11, 2013 by in Fantasy Baseball, Fantasy Football, Sports Analytics.



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